Twitter

Entries in appstore (2)

Monday
Mar162009

Google Voice: "One of the big holes right now is in the management of voice communications"

Pinky: Gee, Brain, what are we going to do tonight?
Brain: The same thing we do every night, Pinky - try to take over the world!

Last week Google announced that GrandCentral, acquired by Google in 2007, is now Google Voice, with new features including voicemail to text and archive and search of SMS text messages.

Analysts and bloggers are divided on how this will impact voice revenues from local and international calls, but the ability to offer free Internet calls will surely be seen as a threat. When Nokia announced last month that Skype came preloaded on the N97, it incurred the displeasure of mobile operators. According to Mobiletoday.co.uk, UK operators Orange and O2 may end up refusing to stock the N97 unless Nokia eliminated the application.


The incursion of Skype and Google into telecommunications adds to the mounting pressure mobile operators are facing from new players. Last year, when Apple announced it was opening up its platform to developers, they redefined the power balance in the industry; technology vendors and developers now have access to the mobile market without having to go through an operator. The result? Apple's AppStore is expected to become a $1 billion business by the end of 2009 and other major players have announced their own App Store including RIM, Nokia, Microsoft and Palm.

Vincent Paquet, a co-founder of GrandCentral who is now running Google Voice, stated that "Google is all about helping you manage your information and one of the big holes right now is in the management of voice communications".

Paquet's statement is relevant because he highlights yet another missed opportunity by mobile operators. A recent report from Frost & Sullivan placed the spotlight on Unified Messaging (UM), a technology that facilitates anywhere and anytime access to non-real-time messaging. According to Frost & Sullivan, UM contributed approximately 51 percent of the total enterprise voice and UM market revenues, a market that earned revenues of $708.1 million in 2008 (Cellular News, Feb 26 2009). Mobile operators, however, have not showed much enthusiasm in this service. Technology vendors including Comverse, Ericsson and Unisys introduced this service several years ago and it has evolved to reflect new developments such as voice mail transfer to e mail, web access and single access to voice, fax and e mail messages. Operators, however, have stayed with basic voice mail services, with functions that have not changed since they were first introduced almost twenty years.

The mobile market continues to evolve at a rapid pace and there are many new and exciting opportunities waiting to happen: converged messaging, mobile advertising and mobile/Internet convergence to name a few.

Mobile operators can still leverage their position in the market, but with new players moving in and filling the "big holes" in voice and data, they will have to redefine their business models and partner with the new players; at this stage of the game, this might be their only option to take advantage of new opportunities and more importantly, respond to threats in a new business environment where they no longer have the last word.

Wednesday
Mar112009

Mobile Applications, Smartphones will drive industry growth; AppStore "miles ahead" of its rivals


Despite the economic downturn, it is expected that the latest mobile applications for smartphones like BlackBerry and iPhone will drive industry growth in the coming years, providing alternate sources of revenue for operators.
A new report by Juniper Research forecasts that smartphones will account for 23% of all new handsets sold by 2013 (Cellular News). Another report by Informa forecasts 35 percent growth in sold smartphones in 2009 and according to The Washington Post, Gartner expects smartphone sales to jump in 2009.
The common element in these reports is the potential that innovative devices and applications have to promote mobile data consumption. This has industry players scrambling to secure their place in the value chain, including content providers, handset vendors and application developers.
Handset vendors need to diversify into high-value content to offset falling margins on handset sales (1). This week, Nokia announced the arrival of new Nokia Music Stores, more Comes With Music launches and three new oriented mobile phones (Cellular News, March 11 2009).
On the side of content providers, Facebook is reported to be in talks with a number of mobile phone manufacturers to more tightly embed access to its services within the phone menus (The Wall Street Journal, February 12, 2009).
Other announcements from industry leaders include RIM, who is launching BlackBerry App World later this month; Microsoft announced at the Mobile World Congress in Barcelona the launch of Windows Mobile marketplace, which will allow developers to build and sell Windows Mobile applications. Both will compete head to head with Apple's AppStore (PC World, March 11, 2009). Android, Palm and Symbian have announced they are opening similar online stores.
Apple remains ahead of the curve; according to ChannelWeb, the AppStore now boasts more than 25,000 downloadable applications and is expected to become a $1 billion business by the end of 2009. Last week, AppStore was ranked as the best among the competition by research firm Global Intelligence Alliance Group, which said AppStore was "miles ahead" of its rivals.
This is good news for Apple and AT&T: "Despite the economic environment, we grew revenues in 2008, and I expect 2009 will be another year of overall revenue growth and solid progress for our company," said Randall Stephenson, AT&T chairman and chief executive officer (source). AT&T reported 1.9 million iPhone 3G devices activated in in the fourth quarter. iPhone 3G continues to deliver high-value subscribers with significantly higher ARPU and lower churn than AT&T's postpaid subscriber average.
It is unlikely that the success of Apple's iPhone and their business model can be replicated, but there are many opportunities for other industry players. Market followers need to position a similar offering as the market leader but it is equally important to understand Apple's competitive advantage: a superior design that stands heads above its competition (see Improving the User Interface to drive revenue).
The iPhone's true innovation is not the touch screen, it is a user interface that makes it easier and more intuitive for the end user to use applications. This is the key element that drives data consumption, which will be the main growth engine for operators in the coming years.

(1) Motorola, Nokia, LG and Sony Ericsson all reported a poor performance for the fourth quarter of 2008; Nokia recently stated that they expect a 10 percent decline in global handset sales for the entire industry (Gigaom).